Why Tusk decided not to run for Poland’s presidency?
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EPP sources told EURACTIV that “it’s more than sure” that Tusk will run for the Presidency of the European People’s Party in Brussels. Rumours suggest that Manfred Weber was also interested in the post, but he was advised not to run against Tusk. ] OLIVIER HOSLET / EPA/Euractiv.com
Tusk is not running for president. Donald Tusk has announced that he will not run for Poland’s presidency in the elections due to take place in May 2020. For months, the possibility of his comeback to Polish politics had been one of the most widely discussed topics in Poland. However, Tusk decided that the country needs “a candidate, who has not been burdened with a bag of difficult, unpopular decisions”. “I have been burdened with such baggage since I was the prime minister,” Tusk said.
Why did Tusk make this decision? First, his popularity rate is still low. According to the latest polls, it’s even lower than Jarosław Kaczyński’s – his old nemesis and Poland’s current de facto ruler.
EURACTIV Poland commented that according to the public, Tusk’s time as prime minister is still considered to be either marred with scandals or to have lacked any vision other than the development of EU-funded large-scale infrastructure projects.
Second, Tusk was said to have commissioned internal polls, which indicated that Poles did not want his comeback, not giving him much of a chance against Andrzej Duda, the incumbent president.
Therefore, Tusk did not intend to come back only to fail and expose himself and his family to brutal attacks from PiS and PiS-owned public television. Last but not least, he might have decided that a politician who is not burdened with past decisions and considered to be more moderate and thus acceptable for the centre and right-wing electorate might have a better chance against Duda.
What is next for an opposition, which has counted on his comeback for a long time?
For his old party PO (EPP), this means that it will most probably conduct its own so-called ‘primaries’, a plan pushed forward by the party’s leader Grzegorz Schetyna but opposed by many in the party. If the party does decide to carry them out, the favourite to win will be Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska.
But there is also another proposal on the table put forward by Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz (PSL/EPP), who already started his campaign. He suggested that his party could conduct primaries together with PO and in this way, the centrist will have one candidate for elections. The risk is high for Kosiniak-Kamysz, as he is less known than Kidawa-Błońska, but if he won, most of the opposition would have no other option but to stand behind him.
Interestingly, a few months ago, Donald Tusk was said to be tacitly supporting his steady rise in Polish politics and even the presidential candidacy.
On the Left, the popular progressive leader of Wiosna (S&D) Robert Biedrońa published a tweet hinting at Tusk’s readiness to run. Officially, though, the Left (of which Wiosna is a part) has not yet made any decision about its candidate.
EPP sources told EURACTIV that “it’s more than sure” that Tusk will run for the Presidency of the European People’s Party in Brussels. Rumours suggest that Manfred Weber was also interested in the post, but he was advised not to run against Tusk.
EURACTIV has also learnt that there is an ongoing fight in the EPP, between Weber and the team of current EPP chief Joseph Daul. Reportedly, Weber believes that Daul’s team was not supportive enough during his campaign for the Presidency of the European Commission. Besides, there are ongoing fights over the post of the Secretary-General currently held by Spanish Antonio López.
(Łukasz Gadzała | EURACTIV.pl– Edited by Sarantis Michalopoulos | EURACTIV.com)